The Sunday Political Brunch—March 25, 2018

Sunday, March 25, 2018

 

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Mark Curtis

Well politics was all over the map this week. A lot of fascinating stuff happened, and controversy, too. This as we head into the spring primary season. Let’s “brunch” on that this week.

“Bring Back that ‘Stormy’ Day” – Okay I got lots of critical comments last week because I wrote about Stormy Daniels, the porn star who says she had an affair with Trump and then was paid $130,000 to keep quiet, which she obviously has not done (are such deals legally binding, anyway?) Carp all you want, DC loves sex scandals. I didn’t write the rules. But now an ex-Playboy bunny by the name of Karen McDougal says she also had a consensual affair with Trump in 2006-07. Look, this is starting to look like the Clinton era, in which the former President’s handlers referred to similar claims with the unfortunate term, “bimbo eruptions.”

“Does It Matter?” – Yes, and no. As a member of the White House Press Corp from 1993-1999, I can tell you the beltway and the nation was consumed by the Clinton-Lewinsky scandal. It was like the car wreck you’re not supposed to watch on the highway, but everyone does. But public opinion was largely against removing Clinton from office, despite widespread displeasure over his behavior. In Clinton’s case, perjury – not adultery – was the legal issue. Some say in Trump’s case, bribery – not adultery – is the real issue. But to the public, national stability and security are the issues. We didn’t dump Clinton; I doubt we will dump Trump.

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“On the Bubble” – Like him, or not, President Trump seems to be consistent on one issue – overspending by certain bureaucrats. He fired Secretary of Health and Human Services Tom Price just months into the job for lavish travel. Now we know that HUD Secretary Ben Carson is on the bubble for lavish office furnishings; and EPA Administrator Greg Pruitt and Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke may be on the way out, for what may be viewed excessive travel expenses. Folks, when voters send you to Washington, to cut spending and reign in the budget, a $30,000 dining room at your office was not what they had in mind.

“The Putin Call” – Here’s the truth of most political cycles - and most news cycles - which often last just 24-hours. What seems like an earthquake, can just be a speed bump. Many Democrats – and a lot pf Republicans – are upset President Trump called Russian President Vladimir Putin to congratulate him on his re-election “victory” – wink, wink – as if Russia has been known for free and fair democratic elections. Yes, it was a slap in the face to many Americans that Trump would congratulate our nation’s arch enemy, but President Obama also gave a congratulatory call last time Putin “won.” Like a loaf of bread, this story goes “stale” in about 24 hours.

“The Nixon Intra-Party Lesson” – Senators Jeff Flake (R) Arizona and Lindsey Graham (R) South Carolina, are among those suggesting impeachment hearings may result if President Trump fires Special Counsel Robert Mueller. You may be scratching your head here. “How can a President be impeached with a majority of his party in the House and Senate?” The answer is, when your own party turns on you. In 1974, it wasn’t the Democrats who forced the Nixon resignation. While Nixon was prepared to fight to the death, Senators Barry Goldwater, (R) Arizona; Hugh Scott (R) Iowa; and, Howard Baker, (R) Tennessee, were among those who went to the White House and told Nixon he was done. Nixon – who never forgave Baker, and said it would ruin his White House chances - reluctantly agreed.

“Mueller Firing?” – Common sense tells me that President Trump won’t fire Mueller; my gut tells me he will. Trump is the most unconventional President in American history. All bets are off; all previous indicators are moot. Not only do I think Trump will fire Mueller; he will also ask Attorney General Jeff Sessions to resign – which Sessions will refuse – and will then be fired. Conventional wisdom tells me you don’t do this in an election year, but there is no such concept as “conventional wisdom” in this time. Yes, I think Republicans will lose a chunk of seats in the House (15 to 25) – but not their majority. Oddly, I think the GOP will pick up two or three Senate seats. This is a weird cycle.

What are your thoughts on this weird week in politics? Just click the comment button at www.MarkCurtisMedia.com.

Mark Curtis, Ed.D., is Chief Political Reporter for the five Nexstar Media TV stations serving West Virginia and the bordering states. He’s an award-winning political author.

 

Related Slideshow: GoLocal: Benchmark Poll, October 2017

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Sponsor: GoLocalProv

Sample: N=403

Rhode Island General Election Voters Margin of Error: +/- 4.9% at 95% Confidence Level

Interviewing Period: October 9-11, 2017

Mode: Landline (61%) and Mobile (39%)

Telephone Directed by: John Della Volpe, SocialSphere, Inc.

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Are you registered to vote at this address?

Yes: 100%

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When it comes to voting, do you consider yourself to be affiliated with the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, Moderate, or Unaffiliated with a major party?

Unaffiliated: 49%

Democrat: 32%

Republican: 15%

Moderate: .4%

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Next year, in November of 2018, there will be a statewide general election for Governor and many other state offices. How likely is it that you will vote in this election?

Will you definitely be voting, will you probably be voting, are you 50-50...

Definitely be voting: 78%

Probably be voting: 13%

50-50: 9%

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In general, would you say things in Rhode Island are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?

Right track: 39%

Wrong track: 45%

Mixed: 10%

Don't know/Refused: .6%

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What would you say is the number one problem facing Rhode Island that you would like the Governor to address?

Jobs and economy:  21%

Education: 12%

Taxes: 12%

Roads: 12%

State budget: 9%

Corruption/Public integrity: .8%

Healthcare: 3%

Governor: 3%

Homelessness: 2%

Immigration: 2%

Other: 7%

Don’t know: .9%

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Over the past three years or so, would you say the economy in Rhode Island has improved, gotten worse, or not changed at all?

Changed for the better: 35%

Changed for the worse: 16%

Not changed at all: 43%

Don't know/Refused: 5%

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Over the same time, has your family's financial situation improved, gotten worse, or not changed at all?

Changed for the better: 26%

Changed for the worse: 19%

Not changed at all: 54%

Don't know/Refused: 1%

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Recently, a proposal has been made to permit the issuance of $81 million in bonds by the State to build a new stadium for the Pawtucket Red Sox. If there was an election today on this issue, would you vote to approve or reject issuing $81 million in financing supported moral obligation bonds to build the stadium?

Net: Approve: 28%

Definitely approve: 15%

Probably approve: 14%

Net: Reject: 67%

Probably reject: 19%

Definitely reject: 48%

Don't know: 4%

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Could you please tell me your age?

18-24: 7%

25-34: 15%

35-44: 15%

45-54: 20%

55-64: 17%

65+: 25%

Don't know/refused: 1%

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What was the last grade you completed in school?

0-11: 2%

High school grad: 16%

Technical/Vocational school: 1%

Some college: 23%

College grad: 34%

Graduate degree: 24%

Don't know/refused: 1%

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The next question is about the total income of YOUR HOUSEHOLD for the PAST 12 MONTHS. Please include your income PLUS the income of all members living in your household (including cohabiting partners and armed forces members living at home).

$50,000 or less: 27%

More $50,000 but less than $75,000: 13%

More $75,000 but less than $100,000: 13%

More $100,000 but less than $150,000: 17%

$150,000 or more: 13%

Don't know/refused: 17%

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What particular ethnic group or nationality - such as English, French, Italian, Irish, Latino, Jewish, African American, and so forth - do you consider yourself a part of or feel closest to?

American/None: 21%

English: 13%

Italian: 13%

Irish: 12%

Black or African American: 6%

Latino/Hispanic: 6%

French: 6%

Portuguese: 3%

Jewish: 3%

German: 1%

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Would you say that Donald Trump has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as President?


Excellent: 13%
Good: 12%
Fair: 14%
Poor: 57%
Never heard of:  0%
Cannot rate: 3%

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Would you say that Jack Reed has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as a United States Senator?

Excellent: 22%
Good: 29%
Fair: 23%
Poor: 15%
Never heard of: 6%
Cannot rate: 6%

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Would you say that Sheldon Whitehouse has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as a United States Senator?

Excellent: 17%
Good: 22%
Fair: 21%
Poor: 28%
Never heard of: 6%
Cannot rate: 7%

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Would you say that David Cicilline has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as a Member of Congress?

Excellent: 9%
Good: 29%
Fair: 21%
Poor: 27%
Never heard of: 6%
Cannot rate:  8%

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Would you say that James Langevin has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as a Member of Congress?

Excellent: 7%
Good: 30%
Fair: 20%
Poor: 18%
Never heard of: 13%
Cannot rate: 11%

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Would you say that Gina Raimondo has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as Governor?

Excellent: 6%
Good: 28%
Fair: 30%
Poor: 31%
Never heard of: 1%
Cannot rate: 3%

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Would you say that Daniel McKee has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as Lieutenant Governor?


Excellent: 3%
Good: 16%
Fair: 21%
Poor: 8%
Never heard of: 26%
Cannot rate: 25%

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Would you say that Peter Kilmartin has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as Attorney General?


Excellent: 3%
Good: 20%
Fair: 28%
Poor: 17%
Never heard of: 13%
Cannot rate: 19%

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Would you say that Seth Magaziner has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as General Treasurer?

Excellent: 4%
Good: 18%
Fair: 24%
Poor: 13%
Never heard of: 21%
Cannot rate: 21%

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Would you say that Nellie Gorbea has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as Secretary of State?

Excellent: 5%
Good: 21%
Fair: 21%
Poor: 10%
Never heard of: 20%
Cannot rate: 23%

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Would you say that Jorge Elorza has done an excellent good, fair or poor job as Mayor of Providence?

Excellent: 4%
Good: 24%
Fair: 24%
Poor: 22%
Never heard of: 9%
Cannot rate: 15%

 
 

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