Moore: Igliozzi Provides Fiscal Sanity, Leadership in Providence

Monday, October 17, 2016

 

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By all accounts, the City of Providence is in a precarious financial position.

There are countless instances of finance professionals talking about the prospect of bankruptcy being the only realistic way for the financially mismanaged city to find its way back to prosperity once again.

Most recently, and perhaps most notably, former Cranston Mayor and finance professional Steve Laffey, wrote in GoLocalProv.com just a few weeks ago wrote a column arguing that very point.

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“If Providence has a $1.8 billion problem, and 60,000 households then that’s $30,000 per household - about 3 times the magnitude of California!!  Hello, anyone listening!  And California has the same advantages of a state over a medium sized city. Case closed,” Laffey wrote.  

There are few folks I respect more than the former Cranston Mayor, particularly when it comes to the issue of municipal finance. Therefore, his remarks make me lean towards the camp that believes declaring bankruptcy may very well be the best path forward.

Time is Running Out

Yet if city leaders are hell-bent on avoiding receivership and the mess that would entail, it’s imperative that they make prudent financial decisions. You’d think that goes without saying. When you’re in a hole, you should stop digging, and all that.

Recent actions by the administration would make one think that the city is on perfectly solid financial footing.

The administration touted a new contract aimed at settling the city’s longstanding dispute with its firefighters over the administration’s move to force the firefighters to work on a three shift schedule that took place in the summer of 2015. The administration has agreed to move back to the traditional four shift schedule in exchange for a reduction in minimum manning—from 94 to 88 firefighters per shift. The agreement also pays firefighters a raise of roughly 12.5 percent over a 5-year period—the life of the contract.

Apparently, the Jorge Elorza administration expected the city council to simply rubber stamp the agreement. The administration failed to send the council a detailed fiscal note, which would lay out, in a very detailed and intricate manner, where all the savings (or perhaps costs) would be realized. 

Transparency?

Maybe they thought that the council planned on taking a page out of former Congressional House Speaker Nancy Pelosi who infamously once remarked “we need to pass the bill to find out what’s in it”, when talking about Obamacare.

Fortunately, John Igliozzi, the Providence City Council Finance Chairman, has other ideas. To his credit: Igliozzi has criticized the administration for failing to provide the details, where the devil often hides. Those details, explained in the fiscal note, are supposed to be provided to the council this week.

It’s a good thing that the council has demanded the information. To ratify the agreement without seeing the details would a gross dereliction of duty on their part. The city council is a co-equal branch of government within the city. It doesn’t always work like it is, but city residents are better served when it does.

What’s more, the council shouldn’t have to have demanded to the given the information. And once they demanded it, the city should have been readily able to produce it. The fact that they didn’t suggests that they didn’t really know exactly what they’re saving through this agreement. That’s frightening.

Solid Leadership From Igliozzi

Igliozzi is also correct to point out that the agreement should contain pension reforms that also save taxpayer dollars and strengthen the system for current and future retirees. As of now, the current agreement doesn’t take on pension reform.

Once all the information regarding the savings contained within the contract becomes available, the city council will be able to clearly decide whether the deal is truly in the best interests of the city’s beleaguered taxpayers.

The city cannot afford to affirm collective bargaining agreements merely because it will appease a union or the administration. The days of doing convenient things that we cannot afford are over—unless the city wants to find itself in bankruptcy. Then again, maybe that’s not such a bad thing.

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Russell J. Moore has worked on both sides of the desk in the Rhode Island media, both for newspapers and on political campaigns. Send him email at [email protected]. Follow him on twitter @russmoore713. 

 

Related Slideshow: Providence Pension Liability

A new report shows that Providence’s pension fund—even after the recent reform—is still in trouble. The below slides break out the key numbers for the pension fund, including the unfunded liability, the assumed and actual rates of return, the current level of benefits, and how long it will take the city to pay off the unfunded liability. Figures are current as of July 1, 2013 and are taken from the new Jan. 31 actuarial report from Segal Consulting.

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Unfunded Liability in 2013

Total Liability: $1.2 billion

Actuarial Assets: $380.4 million

Unfunded Liability: $831.5 million

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Unfunded Liability in 2011

Total Liability: $1.2 billion

Actuarial Assets: $380.4 million

Unfunded Liability: $831.5 million

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Percent Funded in 2013

Funding Ratio: The ratio of the amount of actuarial assets to the amount owed.

Funding ratio in 2013: 31.39%

Percent unfunded in 2013: 68.61%

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Percent Funded in 2011

Funding Ratio: The ratio of the amount of actuarial assets to the amount owed.

Funding ratio in 2011: 31.94%

Percent unfunded in 2011: 68.06%

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Rate of Return

Former Assumed Rate of Return: 8.5%

New Assumed Rate of Return: 8.25%

What the state’s assumed rate of return is: 7.5%

What Moody’s Investors Service says the assumed rate of return should be: 5.5%

What investor Warren Buffet says the assumed rate of return should be: 6%

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Actual Return on Investment

Actual Market Return in FY 2012: 1.49%

Actual Market Return in FY 2013: 11.35%

Current Assumed Rate of Return: 6.42%

Average Market Rate of Return for FY 12 and FY 13: 8.25%

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Impact of Lower Rates of Return

$72 million:The city unfunded liability increased by this amount when the city lowered its assumed rate of return by a quarter of a percentage point, from 8.5% to 8.25%

$506.2 million: The estimated increase in the unfunded liability were the city to use the 6% assumed rate of return recommended by Moody’s Investors Service.

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Retiree Pay – Fire and Police

Number on Active Duty: 834

Average Annual Pay: $61,325

Number of Retirees: 587

Average Retiree Age: 65.3

Average Retiree Annual Pay: $40,512

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Disability Pensions – Fire and Police

Number on Disability: 418

Average Age: 64.8

Average Annual Pay: $59,028

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Retiree Pay – Other City Workers

Number of City Workers: 2,164

Average Annual Pay: $38,687

Number of Retirees: 1,453

Average Retiree Age: 72

Average Retiree Annual Pay: $18,252

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Disability Pensions – Other City Workers

Number on Disability: 88

Average Age: 66.8

Average Annual Pay: $18,684

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Current Cost of Pension Fund

For 2013

City Contribution: $58.1 million

Employees Contribution: $10.9 million

Net Investment Return: $18.1 million

Cost of Retiree Benefits: $95.4 million

Note: Net investment return is the return on investments after investment and administrative fees have been paid.

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Cost of Pension Fund in 10 Years

Normal Cost: $9.8 million

Additional Cost Because

of Unfunded Liability: $84 million

Total Annual Cost: $94.3 million

Note: Total figure for the year includes a small second payment for the deferred liability.

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Cost of Pension Fund in 20 Years

Normal Cost: $13.9 million

Additional Cost Because

of Unfunded Liability: $118.5 million

Total Cost: $132.4 million

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Paying Off Unfunded Liability

Average annual increase: 3.5%

Number of additional years to pay off: 27

Fiscal year unfunded liability to be paid off by: 2040

 
 

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