Rhode Islanders’ Rage Fuels Trump and Sanders Victories
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
An anti-establishment movement is afoot in Rhode Island.
Republican Presidential front runner Donald Trump and Democratic underdog Bernie Sanders both cruised to victories in the presidential primaries in Rhode Island on Tuesday, signaling a sentiment from voters that they are not happy with the status quo — and are voicing their anger with votes.
GoLocal had raised the question back in August 2015 - could voter dissatisfaction translate into Trump and Sanders wins in Rhode Island? (Read the article HERE).
GET THE LATEST BREAKING NEWS HERE -- SIGN UP FOR GOLOCAL FREE DAILY EBLAST“It was a big night for Trump. He crushed the opposition and did well in many parts of the state. Similar to Massachusetts, he ran strongly due to his support among those upset with government and among Independents who feel like the system is rigged,” said Darrell West, Vice President of Governance Studies at Brookings — and former Director of the Taubman Center at Brown University. “In doing well, he continued his pattern of winning in the Northeast and Midwest. He has moved much closer to building the coalition necessary for the GOP nomination.”
Trump won with 63.6% of the vote, with John Kasich garnering 24.3% and Ted Cruz getting 10.4%
See RI Election Results HERE
The bigger story of the day however was Sanders usurping opponent Hillary Clinton’s previous political dominance in Rhode Island (she topped Barack Obama in the 2008 Democratic primary in Rhode Island).
READ: Sanders Win is Another Blow to Governor Raimondo
Sanders won Tuesday with 54.7% of the Democratic primary, to Clinton’s 43.1%.
“Rhode Island has long been branded 'Clinton Country,' and the photo ops with Rhode Island state officials and the congressional delegation standing in support of the candidate was a strong signal that Hilary Clinton is the Rhode Island Democratic Party establishment’s choice,” said Rhode Island College Professor of Communications Val Endress. “Such symbolism may have bolstered her numbers in previous elections, but Rhode Islanders, much like the rest of the country, is in an anti-establishment mood and that's what we saw play out in the Rhode Island victories of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. Public discontent over the long slog to economic recovery and a Congress that has been nearly paralyzed by hyper-partisanship has influenced the public’s mindset toward elected officials at nearly level.”
Trump swept all five Republican primaries on Tuesday, winning in Delaware, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Maryland and Pennsylvania, while Clinton took four of the five -- with Rhode Island playing the spoiler.
Turning to the General
“Assuming that Clinton is the Democratic nominee, I wouldn't be at all surprised to see her return to Rhode Island to campaign during the general election,” said Endress. Sanders has said he will stay in the race until the Democratic convention.
“High millennial turnout in Rhode Island is particularly significant because, if these young voters perceive that they played a role in Sanders' win, they will have an expectation that Clinton will have to earn their support in the general election,” said Endress. “There will be some inclination for Sanders' millennial supporters to sit out the general election, and no candidate can afford that. Look for Rhode Island and several of the upcoming states in which Sanders may register a win to continue to push Clinton toward a more progressive agenda.”
Roger Williams University Professor of Political Science June Speakman, who ran as a Clinton delegate, cited the role of the independent voter in an open primary system as the critical factor.
“The fact that independents could vote in either party's contest certainly helped Sanders as did the disaffection with the establishment that has been showing up in recent polls. Whether these voters will remain engaged if Clinton is the eventual nominee is one of this campaign's many mysteries,” said Speakman. “Trump's victory, which several months ago, would have seemed unthinkable, is no longer surprising. Cruz's weak showing is predictable, as Rhode Islanders don't have much appetite for his evangelical fervor.”
Related Slideshow: 5 Shocking Facts from the 2016 RI Presidential Primary
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