New Hampshire Tracking Poll Shows Trump & Sanders Have Firm Lead

Thursday, February 04, 2016


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Donald Trump

The third day of results from the UMass Lowell/7News tracking poll of 1,400 New Hampshire voters shows that both Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have commanding leads with less than a week to go before voters head to polls. 

Republican Race 

Trump's lead over his nearest competitor is 24 points and he carries the support of 38 percent of likely Republican primary voters polled. Ted Cruz follows in second place with 14 percent. 

Trump is ahead of Republican candidates in all age, gender, income and education categories and does best with voters who have an annual income of less than $50,000 and those with high school diplomas or less. 

Trump supporters are made up of 43 percent male and 32 percent female. 

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Democratic Race 

Bernie Sanders holds a 29-point lead over Hillary Clinton with the support of 61 percent of the Democratic primary voters. 

Sanders leads Clinton among voters in all age, gender, education, and receives his strongest support from Independent and unaffiliated New Hampshire voters. 

Sanders' support is made up of 63 percent male and 59 percent female. Clinton has 29 percent of men and 35 percent of women. 

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Basis for Results 

Wednesday's results are based on interviews with a random sample of 1,410 New Hampshire registered voters and a sub sample of 415 Democratic primary likely voters and 502 Republican primary voters. 

The margin of error is a plus or minus 2.92 percent for all registered voters, plus or minus 4.8 percent for likely Republican primary voters and plus or minus 5.4 percent for likely Democratic primary voters.

The Poll 

Every night through February 7, the tracking poll is asking New Hampshire voters, including Democratic and Republican primary voters, about who they plan to vote for, how firm is their selection and who they think will be the next President. 

Poll results are being released daily at 7 a.m. with the last one being released on Monday, Feb. 8. 

UMass Lowell 

UMass Lowell is a national research university that offers 17,500 students bachelor's, master's and doctoral degrees in business, education, engineering, fine arts, health, humanities, sciences and social sciences. 

Click here for more information. 


Related Slideshow: 2016 Presidential Candidates by Net Worth


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