NEW: Cicilline and Doherty in Dead Heat in Brown Poll
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
A recently released Brown University Poll finds that Congressman David Cicilline (D-1) and Brendan Doherty (R) are in a functional dead heat when considering the 6% +/- margin of error.
The poll finds that Cicilline has a 45% to 40% lead. This is a one point narrowing from WPRI's recent poll. WPRI's poll sample size was 250 likely voters and the Brown polling sample for the 1st Congressional District was only 234 likely voters.
Cicilline's job approval ratings are relatively poor - a combined 30% think he is doing an "excellent" or "good" job. More than 60% rate him as "fair" or "poor."
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The Brown poll also found that U.S. Senator Sheldon Whitehouse may have some vulnerability as his job approval rating for "excellent" (12.1%) and "good" (33.3%) combined were under 50% - a key indicator that an incumbent may be tested.
More bad news for Speaker Fox
The poll also unveiled that most-likely voters in Rhode Island think the Rhode Island Speaker of the House, Gordon Fox, is doing a poor job. By a margin of more than 2 to 1, voters think he is doing a fair or poor job.
Here are how the others scored in the Brown poll:
How would you rate the job Barack Obama is doing as president? Excellent 22.4%; good 31.3%; only fair 22.4%; poor 23.2%; Don’t know/No answer 0.7%
How would you rate the job Jack Reed is doing as U.S. senator? Excellent 19.6%; good 38.9%; only fair 21.2%; poor 12.7%; DK/NA 7.6%
How would you rate the job Sheldon Whitehouse is doing as U.S. senator? Excellent 12.1%; good 33.3%; only fair 26.6%; poor 22.2%; DK/NA 5.8%
How would you rate the job David Cicilline is doing as U.S. representative? Excellent 6.7%; good 23.0%; only fair 27.4%; poor 35.7%; DK/NA 7.2%
How would you rate the job Jim Langevin is doing as U.S. representative? Excellent 8.9%; good 32.1%; only fair 27.2%; poor 16.5%; DK/NA 15.3%
How would you rate the job Lincoln Chafee is doing as governor? Excellent 6.3%; good 22.2%; only fair 30.0%; poor 38.9%; DK/NA 2.6%
How would you rate the job Elizabeth Roberts is doing as lieutenant governor? Excellent 6.9%; good 30.6%; only fair 26.0%; poor 12.1%; DK/NA 24.4%
How would you rate the job Peter Kilmartin is doing as attorney general? Excellent 6.0%; good 29.8%; only fair 23.4%; poor 5.0%; DK/NA 35.8%
How would you rate the job A. Ralph Mollis is doing as secretary of state? Excellent 2.4%; good 26.2%; only fair 32.5%; poor 7.3%; DK/NA 31.6%
How would you rate the job Gina Raimondo is doing as general treasurer? Excellent 25.4%; good 33.3%; only fair 14.5%; poor 9.1%; DK/NA 17.7%
How would you rate the job Gordon Fox is doing as House speaker? Excellent 2.8%; good 15.5%; only fair 30.8%; poor 24.2%; DK/NA 26.7%
How would you rate the job Teresa Paiva-Weed is doing as Senate president? Excellent 4.2%; good 22.0%; only fair 26.0%; poor 20.6%; DK/NA 27.2%
How would you rate the job Angel Taveras is doing as mayor of Providence? Excellent 21.0%; good 44.6%; only fair 16.7%; poor 5.0%; DK/NA 12.7%
Would you describe the state of the nation’s economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Excellent 0.4%; good 17.3%; not so good 46.0%; poor 35.3%; DK/NA 1.0%
Would you describe the state of Rhode Island’s economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Excellent 0.0%; good 5.2%; not so good 32.1%; poor 61.3%; DK/NA 1.4%
Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Excellent 7.1%; good 54.2%; not so good 25.6%; poor 12.1%; DK/NA 1.0%
Generally speaking, would you say things in Rhode Island are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction 16.3%; off on wrong track 60.9%; mixed 18.1%; not sure 3.7%; no answer 1.0%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? Approve 55.2%; disapprove 39.5%; DK/NA 5.3%
How likely are you to vote in this year’s presidential election? Are you very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely to vote? Very likely 90.7%; somewhat likely 4.2%; not very likely 1.8%; not at all likely 2.6%; no answer 0.7%
If the next election for president were held today, would you vote for Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama? [Asked only of 471 likely voters; margin of error ±4.5%] Mitt Romney 32.3%; Barack Obama 58.2%; DK/NA 9.5%
If the next election for US. Senate were held today, would you vote for Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse or Republican Benjamin Hinckley? [Asked only of 471 likely voters; margin of error ±4.5%] Sheldon Whitehouse 58.6%; Benjamin Barrett Hinckley 29.7 %; DK/NA 11.7%
If the next election for U.S. House of Representatives were held today, would you vote for Republican Brendan Doherty, Democrat David Cicilline or Independent David Vogel? [Asked only of 236 likely voters in Congressional District 1; margin of error ±6.3%] Brendan Doherty 40.3%; David Cicilline 45.8%; David Vogel 6.8%; DK/NA 7.1%
If the next election for U.S. House of Representatives were held today, would you vote for Democrat James Langevin, Republican Michael Riley or Independent Abel Collins? [Asked only of 235 likely voters in Congressional District 2; margin of error ±6.3%] James Langevin 49.4%; Michael Riley 31.5%; Abel Collins 4.7%; DK/NA 14.4%
In the upcoming election in November, will you approve or reject Question 1: State Constitutional Approval to authorize state-operated Casino Gaming at Twin River in the Town of Lincoln? [Asked only of 471 likely voters; margin of error ±4.5%] Approve 57.3%; reject 30.8%; DK/NA 11.9%
In the upcoming election in November, will you approve or reject Question 2: State Constitutional Approval to authorize state-operated Casino Gaming at Newport Grand in the City of Newport? [Asked only of 471 likely voters; margin of error ±4.5%] Approve 55.6%; reject 33.3%; DK/NA 11.1%
The Cranston School Department recently ordered all school dances be “gender inclusive” effectively banning “father-daughter dances” to comply with state and federal law. Do you strongly agree, agree, disagree or strongly disagree with this decision? Strongly agree 3.8%; agree 8.9%; disagree 28.6%; strongly disagree 48.6%; DK/NA 10.1%;
