Giannini: Are You Ready for Hillary or Exploring with Linc?

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

 

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Hillary Clinton

Well it's official. Hillary Clinton announced her candidacy for President of the United States at approximately 3:00pm on Sunday, April 12, 2015.  After months of speculation and teasing hints, Hillary has decided to run for the second time.

It really was no secret to anyone.  I've been getting emails for months from the "Are you ready for Hillary" campaign asking if I want to buy anything and everything from tee shirts, glassware, cell phone covers  to dog collars.  I've never seen anything like it.  Memorabilia with the slogan "Ready for Hillary" has been selling for months now.  Hillary has hit the ground running and probably already has quite a war chest built.  Let's face it.  The Clintons are not strangers to running for America's top spot.

Former President Bill Clinton served two terms as President and this is Hillary's second presidential run.  Not to mention that Bill Clinton was governor of Arkansas and Hillary was a United States Senator from New York.  Add that resume to Hillary being Secretary of State and Bill Clinton being a road scholar and what do you have?  A dynamic duo who will live, breathe and work around the clock to win the presidency.

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Bill Clinton basically has that quality of being a likable guy.  You want to believe what he says even if you know it's not true. I  always was very impressed with his friendship with former President George Bush Sr. and their travels together for humanitarian causes.

But he and Hillary seem quite different in their campaigning techniques. Bill Clinton is the ultimate charmer who knows what to  say and how to say it. Hillary is more business like and seems somewhat more reserved in her comments and showing her feelings.  If she wants to break that glass ceiling, she'll have to do things different this time.

It's not a sign of weakness to show your true feelings.  Hillary will have to share her life experiences as well as her political ones if she wants to win this race. By that I mean her experience as wife, mother, grandmother and former First Lady of the United States. These experiences will not be easy topics, especially when the Monica Lewinsky questions come up again.  And yes, they will come up.  Ms. Lewinsky is currently traveling around talking about her life experiences.  Well, the voters will expect Hillary to do the same.

As a woman, I must admit I admired Hillary's stamina during the Lewinsky episode. It could not have been easy for her to live through that time with the whole world watching. But years have passed and the public and media will not give her a pass on any subject.  So, she will have to be ready to answer all the questions both political and personal because the public expects it.

Historically, Hillary would be the first president that is a woman, wife, mother, grandmother and former First Lady so women will expect her to focus on issues that have been swept under the rug for years. That's right, I am talking about pay equity for women , affordable child care, sex trafficking, human trafficking, and increased healthcare benefits just to name a few.  Look for her to focus more on gender issues because that is what she needs to do to secure the female vote. I believe we will see a different Hillary in the next few weeks, a softer and more confident Hillary as we she begins to hit Iowa, New Hampshire  and campaign throughout the country.

Are you exploring with Linc?

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If you are not ready for Hillary, then maybe you are exploring with Linc. The shocker of the week was the announcement that former Governor Lincoln Chafee has formed an exploratory committee to run for President. I am not sure, but he may be the first Rhode Islander to ever consider running for the Presidency. With all the chatter all week and everyone buzzing and asking , " Is he serious?," comes the question "Why?".

Well I think he's serious and as to why he wants to run  only he can answer that but one thing is for sure.  He has a great deal of guts to throw his hat into the ring in what will most certainly be a crowded field.  The Republicans will have no shortage of candidates with Florida Senator Marco Rubio announcing his intentions this  week and also possible announcements from former Governor Jebb Bush and Governor Chris Christie.  

The question remains if Linc Chafee can be a formidable candidate. Can he raise the money?

Chafee certainly has the ties to raise money.  He has a strong progressive base that loves his anti war background and outspoken history on progressive issues when he was in the Senate.  He also has a strong base of marriage equality supporters who also credit him with the passage of the marriage equality bill in Rhode Island while he was Governor. Do not forget the relationships he had with the unions and their support while he was Mayor of Warwick, a Senator and most recently Governor.  

The thing about Chafee is that he says what he thinks and doesn't care if you like it or not. That can be trouble for him in a presidential race. We are not talking about liberal Rhode Island anymore, but the whole country. And that's a different ballgame.  

For example remember the Christmas tree fiasco. He did not have to create a problem for himself over a sentimental tradition to millions of Americans. Those of us who celebrate Christmas, love our Christmas trees. It's just that simple. All he had to do was " Let it go.."

Running a presidential campaign will be quite different for Lincoln  Chafee.  He'd have to show he has the ability to listen and change his mind on issues that he may be rigidly for or against. He will have to show that he can communicate with rural America and the religious sector of this country.  And he will have to show he has an open mind and the ability to listen to all  the people of this country regardless of his personal beliefs.

Linc Chafee has nothing to lose by running for President.  He gains national attention, gets to voice his opinions on a national level and will fulfill a dream of his father, the late Senator John Chafee. The worse scenario is that he could be offered an ambassadorship or cabinet position in the next presidential administration.

It happened for Hillary, when she became Secretary of State in the Obama administration.

It can happen to Chafee, too.

Whether you are ready for Hillary or exploring with Linc or simply sitting this one out, you have to admit this is pure entertainment and it's just starting. 

In the words of the late Betty Davis, "Fasten your seat belts, it's going to be a bumpy ride."

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Joanne Giannini served as a RI State Representative from Providence from 1994 to 2010. She has previously written commentaries for the Providence Journal and the Federal Hill Gazette. During her tenure in the General Assembly, she made appearances on CNN, Primetime News, and American Morning regarding legislation she filed in Rhode Island.

 

Related Slideshow: Grading the Chafee Administration

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Darrell West

Vice President and Director of Governance Studies, Brookings Institution 

Chafee Grade:  A for honesty,  B for fiscal reform, C for economic performance.

Administration wins: Governor Chafee’s best accomplishment was pushing the marriage equality bill into law. That is a signature achievement that forced him to overcome several high-profile opponents. In a small state that remains fairly conservative on social issues, that was a big step forward. Future generations will see that as a great demonstration of leadership on his part. Another landmark bill was the public pension reform. Working with other state leaders, he encouraged people to tackle the long term funding problems associated with state employees and helped the General Assembly adopt a landmark bill. It will save the state millions of dollars down the road and help put the state on a more sustainable path. He also deserves credit for running a very honest administration that did not engage in the corruption we have seen in the past.

Administration losses: His biggest challenge has been the economy. Rhode Island always is the first into recession and the last to come out, and this continues to be the case. The state’s economy has been slow to revive and lags the national recovery.  It is hard to know what he could do to create jobs and lower the unemployment rate, but the fact that it remains stubbornly high has fueled discontent and made it difficult for people to feel good about the state’s direction.

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Laurie White

President, Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce

Chafee Grade:   B.  Leading in today’s polarizing environment is not easy and we should thank those who step up to the plate with the best of intentions.

Administration wins: Successfully shepherding the Shared Nursing Education Facility at South Street Landing, thus setting the stage for significant knowledge economy investment in the region. This was a huge accomplishment, and we extend our congratulations.

Administration losses: It was unfortunate that the early days of his administration were rocky with sales tax proposals and litigation around 38 Studios which had the practical effect of dampening economic development activity. Relations improved substantially in the final years.

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M. Teresa Paiva Weed

Senate President, Rhode Island General Assembly

Chafee Grade:  N/A

Administration wins: I will leave it to others to assign grades, but will say that it has been a privilege to work with Governor Chafee. He prioritized investment in education and workforce development, which will better prepare Rhode Island students and workers for the jobs of a modern economy. He emphasized regulatory reform and customer service, helping to change the culture at state agencies such as the Department of Environmental Management and the Division of Motor Vehicles. His strong environmental stewardship carries on the tradition of his father, and will leave a lasting legacy for generations of Rhode Islanders. He was never afraid to stand on principle, regardless of whether it was the politically opportune thing to do. He is upstanding and honest, and it was an honor to have served alongside him in government.

Administration losses: 

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Victor Profughi

Adjunct Professor of Political Science, URI

Chafee Grade:  D-

Administration wins: He has to be given some of the credit for the pension overhaul.

Administration losses: Unfortunately Lincoln Chafee has considerable difficulty stating clearly and succinctly what he wishes to say and seems to be overly successful in sticking his foot in his mouth.  In addition, he gave the appearance of catering too much to “progressive” notions, and seemed almost totally incapable of working with the legislative leadership.

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Mike Stenhouse

CEO, Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity

Chafee Grade:  F 

Administration wins: Not blocking the recent corporate and estate tax reforms. 

Administration losses: Jobs and the economy.  The state's relative near-bottom of the barrel rankings as compared with other states has not improved to any degree as the drag of increased spending levels and associated taxes continue to harm the economy. 

Mr. Chafee apparently believes that low and moderate income families are better off surviving under public assistance programs, than they would thriving in a growth economy -- our center disagrees and believes that every family can enhance their quality of life if we can only get oppressive spend-and-tax policies out of way of our people and business. 

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Pam Gencarella

OSTPA, a "Voice for the Taxpayers of Rhode Island"

Chafee Grade:  N/A

Administration wins:

Administration losses: Governor Chafee duped RI citizens when he said "Trust Chafee". His political perspective and his actions reveal a disconnect between claiming to take proactive steps to improve RI's economic rankings while supporting his true progressive agenda laid out in his RhodeMapRI plan. The progressive vision aims to equalize disparities in income and housing under the guise of an economic development plan. Scary stuff. Chafee is leaving office without a solid economic plan, no jobs plan, persistently high taxes that squash the middle class and oppressive business regulations.The big question is how does Governor-elect Raimondo see it?  Does she buy into this vision for RI?  If so, it was certainly not a vision that was discussed on the campaign trail.  

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Larry Purtill

President, National Education Association Rhode Island

Chafee Grade:  ​N/A.  I hate to give ratings since he is leaving office and won’t have an opportunity to fix some of the major problems we still have and hopefully the new Governor can.

Administration wins:  While many probably wouldn’t see his administration being all that successful, based on latest polls, especially in terms of jobs and growth, I do think he tried and got at least some promoting the benefits of Rhode Island and living here. Initially anyway, he pushed for the Department of Education to work with teachers, administrators and others to move public education forward but never addressed the fact that the overwhelming majority (based on the poll we did over a year and a half ago with the AFT) of teachers believed their views and insights were often ignored by RIDE and it was up to the General Assembly to correct the NECAP situation and teacher evaluation. From a personal viewpoint, he appointed me to the Board of Education which gave educators another voice there and that was and is important.

Administration losses: 

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Phil West

Historian and former Executive Director, Common Cause RI

Chafee Grade:  C+

Administration wins:  I deeply appreciated his commitment to equal marriage. People who claimed to speak in the name of God were vitriolic in legislative hearings I attended. Without a courageous governor and core of committed legislators, this overdue reform could not have passed.  Historians may see his commitment to genuine pension reform as equally crucial. No state treasurer could have secured passage of the 2011 pension overhaul without the governor’s support. 

Administration losses:  I see him as an honest person and an ethical governor, but he failed to spend political capital in two key areas. 

First, he should have pressed obstinate Senate leaders to let voters consider a constitutional amendment to bring the General Assembly back under the jurisdiction of the Ethics Commission. Now that Chafee's term has passed and voters have turned down a constitutional convention, lawmakers remain immune to prosecution even for blatant corruption. 

Second, Gov. Chafee should have insisted that the Department of Children, Youth, and Families (DCYF) obtain accreditation. A law enacted in 2010 required DCYF to start work with the Council on Accreditation (COA) in 2011. The Chafee administration launched that process with a preliminary review (2012 report attached) but failed to follow through. As a result, vulnerable children suffer further abuses while in state custody. Thousands grow up feeling that no one sees or cares, and families (including both birth parents and foster parents) lack reliable support services. Professional accreditation raises the bar for universities, hospitals, police departments, and child protection agencies in other states. Why not Rhode Island?

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Bob Healey

Lawyer and RI Moderate Part gubernatorial candidate,

Chafee Grade:  D. I usually avoid kicking a person when he is down, but I did give him that during the campaign.

Administration wins: I do not know the inside story, but I was at least interested with the break up with Bob Walsh after the NEA got him elected.  This could be the greatest accomplishment or downfall, but without the inside story, I cannot tell which is which.  I was also very skeptical of the "Trust Chafee" campaign promise.  

Administration losses: His manner of governing is more suited to legislative rather than executive functions, and, as such, he couldn't approach the situation from a point that was required.  He is a personable guy, just not suited for executive functions. Anyone can be Governor, it takes much more to be a good Governor and stay responsive to the people. It is ironic in a way that he once called me and the Cool Moose Party a party of one.  

Photo by Jade Gotauco All Rights Reserved

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June Speakman

Professor of Political Science, Roger Williams University

Chafee Grade:  N/A

Administration wins:  I can say that a couple of his positives were to move the state away from the Studio 38 climate of insider politics, to work with Gen Treasurer Raimondo on the very difficult task of pension reform (whether or not one liked the result, at least they stopped kicking the can down the road), and his sensitivity to the needs of the municipalities.  As a former mayor, the Governor checked in frequently with local mayors and town administrators to get a sense of their needs and how to address them.   The clean air and water bond that was just approved by the voters was largely his initiative and an important legacy.  He also worked hard to diversify appointments to boards and commissions.

Administration losses: 

 
 

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